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Premier League
Referee: Lee Mason
Newcastle
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Everton
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
20 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 10. · Everton 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 18 17 1 0 +32 52
2 Leicester 19 12 3 4 +23 39
3 Man City 19 12 2 5 +29 38
4 Chelsea 19 10 2 7 +6 32
5 Wolves 19 7 9 3 +5 30
6 Tottenham 19 8 5 6 +7 29
7 Sheffield United 19 7 8 4 +6 29
8 Man United 19 7 7 5 +7 28
9 Crystal Palace 19 7 5 7 -4 26
10 Newcastle 19 7 4 8 -9 25
11 Arsenal 19 5 9 5 -3 24
12 Burnley 19 7 3 9 -7 24
13 Brighton 20 6 5 9 -4 23
14 Everton 19 6 4 9 -8 22
15 Southampton 19 6 3 10 -14 21
16 Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 -8 20
17 West Ham 18 5 4 9 -10 19
18 Aston Villa 19 5 3 11 -8 18
19 Watford 19 2 7 10 -21 13
20 Norwich 19 3 3 13 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Everton
13′
D. Calvert-Lewin 0–1
Joelinton 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Tom Davies
1–1 F. Schär
A. Carroll
56′
61′
🔁 F. Delph
↦ M. Kean
64′
D. Calvert-Lewin 1–2
Richarlison
70′
🔁 S. Coleman
↦ T. Walcott
C. Atsu 🔁
↦ F. Lejeune
74′
D. Gayle 🔁
↦ Joelinton
74′
Isaac Hayden 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Y. Mina
↦ L. Baines
S. Longstaff 🔁
↦ J. Willems
85′
90′
🟨 Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

3-5-2
1 M. Dúbravka G
18 F. Fernández D
5 F. Schär D
20 F. Lejeune D
15 J. Willems M
22 D. Yedlin M
8 J. Shelvey M
14 I. Hayden M
24 M. Almirón M
7 A. Carroll F
9 Joelinton F
Bench (7)
30 C. Atsu
12 D. Gayle
36 S. Longstaff
43 M. Longstaff
19 Javi Manquillo
26 K. Darlow
17 E. Krafth

Coach: S. Bruce

Everton

4-4-2
1 J. Pickford G
3 L. Baines D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 M. Keane D
2 M. Holgate D
10 G. Sigurðsson M
26 T. Davies M
11 T. Walcott M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
7 Richarlison M
27 M. Kean F
Bench (7)
8 F. Delph
23 S. Coleman
13 Y. Mina
14 C. Tosun
12 L. Digne
22 M. Stekelenburg
20 Bernard

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,55
U
3,40
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.