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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Monza
T T U U T
1–2
Full-time
Udinese
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
7%
36%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,32 xG 1,22
67% Possession 33%
27 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
12 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monza 19. · Udinese 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Atalanta 15 11 1 3 +21 +15.2 34
2 Napoli 15 10 2 3 +11 +9.3 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 +19 +12.7 31
4 Fiorentina 14 9 4 1 +18 +7.6 31
5 Lazio 15 10 1 4 +13 +13.4 31
6 Juventus 15 6 9 0 +14 +9.4 27
7 Milan 14 6 4 4 +8 +9.2 22
8 Bologna 14 5 7 2 +2 +1.3 22
9 Empoli 15 4 7 4 -1 -9.3 19
10 Udinese 14 5 2 7 -5 -7.0 17
11 Roma 15 4 4 7 -3 -2.5 16
12 Torino 15 4 4 7 -4 -6.4 16
13 Parma 15 3 6 6 -4 -6.0 15
14 Genoa 15 3 6 6 -11 -8.5 15
15 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 -10 -2.9 14
16 Lecce 15 3 4 8 -18 -8.8 13
17 Como 15 2 6 7 -12 -1.0 12
18 Verona 15 4 0 11 -19 -12.0 12
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 -5 -6.5 10
20 Venezia 15 2 3 10 -14 -7.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monza Udinese
6′
L. Lucca 0–1
J. Zemura
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Kristensen
↦ Oier Zarraga
1–1 G. Kyriakopoulos
47′
Gianluca Caprari 🟨
61′
70′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
70′
J. Bijol 1–2
J. Ekkelenkamp
S. Birindelli 🔁
↦ A. Carboni
71′
Dany Mota 🔁
↦ Pedro Pereira
71′
76′
🔁 Iker Bravo
↦ F. Thauvin
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ A. Bianco
79′
O. Forson 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
79′
M. Marić 🔁
↦ D. Maldini
84′
90′
🔁 A. Atta
↦ S. Lovrić
92′
🟨 Iker Bravo
93′
🔁 J. Abankwah
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Monza

3-4-2-1
30 S. Turati G
4 A. Izzo D
22 Pablo Marí D
44 A. Carboni D
13 Pedro Pereira M
38 W. Bondo M
42 A. Bianco M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
14 D. Maldini F
10 G. Caprari F
11 M. Đurić F
Bench (14)
19 S. Birindelli
47 Dany Mota
12 S. Sensi
20 O. Forson
24 M. Marić
27 M. Valoti
5 L. Caldirola
52 N. Postiglione
69 A. Mazza
55 K. Maussi Martins
21 S. Pizzignacco
33 D. D'Ambrosio
57 L. Colombo
84 P. Ciurria

Coach: A. Nesta

Udinese

4-4-2
90 R. Sava G
19 K. Ehizibue D
29 J. Bijol D
30 L. Giannetti D
33 J. Zemura D
6 Oier Zarraga M
8 S. Lovrić M
25 J. Karlström M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 F. Thauvin F
17 L. Lucca F
Bench (11)
31 T. Kristensen
21 Iker Bravo
14 A. Atta
4 J. Abankwah
77 Rui Modesto
66 E. Piana
11 H. Kamara
93 D. Padelli
27 C. Kabasele
16 M. Palma
22 Brenner

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,04
B ✓
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.