Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Monza
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atalanta
|
15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +21 | +15.2 | 34 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | +9.3 | 32 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | +12.7 | 31 |
| 4 |
Fiorentina
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +18 | +7.6 | 31 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +13 | +13.4 | 31 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | +14 | +9.4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Milan
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | +9.2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +2 | +1.3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Empoli
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -1 | -9.3 | 19 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -5 | -7.0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Roma
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | -2.5 | 16 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -4 | -6.4 | 16 |
| 13 |
Parma
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -4 | -6.0 | 15 |
| 14 |
Genoa
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -11 | -8.5 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10 | -2.9 | 14 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -18 | -8.8 | 13 |
| 17 |
Como
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -12 | -1.0 | 12 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -19 | -12.0 | 12 |
| 19 |
Monza
|
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5 | -6.5 | 10 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -14 | -7.1 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Turati
G
A. Izzo
D
A. Carboni
D
Pedro Pereira
M
A. Bianco
M
G. Kyriakopoulos
M
D. Maldini
F
M. Đurić
F
Coach: A. Nesta
K. Ehizibue
D
J. Bijol
D
J. Zemura
D
Oier Zarraga
M
S. Lovrić
M
J. Karlström
M
J. Ekkelenkamp
M
F. Thauvin
F
L. Lucca
F
Coach: K. Runjaić
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bologna
Monza
Como
Monza
Torino
Monza
Monza
Lazio
Monza
Milan
G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.