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Coppa Italia
Referee: F Dionisi
Udinese
S S S U U
2–3
Full-time
Monza
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
22 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 10
9 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Monza 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Torino 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Spezia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Modena 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Parma 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Monza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
18 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
19 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Aug -22 Monza – Udinese 1–2

Match report

Udinese Monza
Beto ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
26′
26′
🟨 Samuele Birindelli
28′
🔁 L. Marrone
↦ G. Paletta
45′
M. Valoti 0–1
F. Ranocchia
Half-time 0–1
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ M. Jajalo
46′
D. Udogie 🔁
↦ F. Ebosele
46′
1–1 N. Pérez
Beto
49′
56′
🔁 W. Bondo
↦ F. Ranocchia
56′
🔁 S. Vignato
↦ José Machín
I. Success 🔁
↦ I. Nestorovski
65′
Deulofeu 🔁
↦ Beto
65′
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
65′
2–1 N. Pérez
R. Pereyra
68′
69′
🔁 S. Molina
↦ M. DAlessandro
69′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ M. Valoti
70′
S. Molina 2–2
72′
A. Petagna 2–3
Nehuén Pérez 🟨
78′
Gerard Deulofeu 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Warren Bondo
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
20 D. Padelli G
18 N. Pérez D
17 B. Nuytinck D
23 E. Ebosse D
19 K. Ehizibue M
4 S. Lovrić M
8 M. Jajalo M
5 T. Arslan M
2 F. Ebosele M
9 Beto F
30 I. Nestorovski F
Bench (11)
24 L. Samardžić
13 D. Udogie
7 I. Success
10 Deulofeu
37 R. Pereyra
1 M. Silvestri
29 J. Bijol
99 E. Piana
11 Walace
6 J. Makengo
14 J. Abankwah

Coach: A. Sottil

Monza

3-4-1-2
89 A. Cragno G
26 V. Antov D
29 G. Paletta D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
6 N. Rovella M
22 F. Ranocchia M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
10 M. Valoti F
28 A. Colpani F
7 José Machín F
Bench (14)
34 L. Marrone
38 W. Bondo
80 S. Vignato
79 S. Molina
37 A. Petagna
25 G. Ferrarini
61 A. Ferraris
1 E. Lamanna
62 Leo Dos Reis
63 S. Kassama
60 L. Colombo
20 A. Siatounis
2 G. Donati
91 A. Sorrentino

Coach: R. Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.