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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Metz
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Dunkerque
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
64%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 5. · Dunkerque 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 Lorient 15 9 3 3 +13 30
3 Dunkerque 14 9 1 4 +5 28
4 Annecy 15 7 5 3 +5 26
5 Metz 14 7 4 3 +9 25
6 Guingamp 15 8 1 6 +6 25
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 +1 23
8 Laval 15 6 4 5 +6 22
9 Rodez 15 5 4 6 +3 19
10 Bastia 15 3 10 2 +0 19
11 Pau FC 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Grenoble 15 5 3 7 +0 18
13 Clermont 15 4 4 7 -5 16
14 Caen 15 4 3 8 -4 15
15 Ajaccio 15 4 3 8 -6 15
16 Troyes 15 4 3 8 -8 15
17 Red Star 15 4 3 8 -14 15
18 Martigues 15 2 3 10 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Dunkerque
21′
🟨 Ugo Raghouber
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ G. Yassine
Koffi Kouao 🟨
61′
70′
🟨 Alec Georgen
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ M. Bokele Mputu
76′
J. Mangondo 🔁
↦ S. Elisor
76′
76′
🔁 A. Sekongo
↦ E. Bardeli
K. Van Den Kerkhof 🔁
↦ P. Diallo
87′
87′
🔁 M. Essimi
↦ M. Rivera
88′
🟨 Abner
89′
🟨 Yacine Bammou
1–0 G. Hein
90′
2–0 J. Asoro
B. Stambouli
93′
95′
🔁 G. Kondo
↦ U. Raghouber
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Metz

4-4-2
16 A. Oukidja G
39 K. Kouao D
15 A. Lô D
8 I. Traoré D
3 M. Udol D
10 P. Diallo M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
19 M. Bokele Mputu M
7 G. Hein F
31 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
99 J. Asoro
33 J. Mangondo
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof
12 A. Touré
5 Fali Candé
9 I. Sané
57 A. Mirbach

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
28 U. Raghouber M
80 G. Yassine M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
8 M. Rivera M
19 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
18 G. Courtet
15 A. Sekongo
10 M. Essimi
21 G. Kondo
17 B. Youssouf
5 Diogo Queirós
1 E. Jaouen

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,67
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.