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Serie A
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Como
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Genoa
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 2,34
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 12. · Genoa 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.5 9
2 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.9 9
3 Cremonese 3 2 1 0 +2 -0.9 7
4 Udinese 3 2 1 0 +2 -0.1 7
5 Milan 3 2 0 1 +2 +4.1 6
6 Roma 3 2 0 1 +1 +1.7 6
7 Atalanta 3 1 2 0 +3 +3.1 5
8 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.7 4
9 Torino 3 1 1 1 -4 -1.9 4
10 Inter 3 1 0 2 +3 +1.7 3
11 Lazio 3 1 0 2 +1 +1.7 3
12 Como 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.7 3
13 Bologna 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.4 3
14 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -2 -2.4 3
15 Fiorentina 3 0 2 1 -2 -1.1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -4 -2.2 2
17 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
18 Pisa 3 0 1 2 -2 -2.0 1
19 Parma 3 0 1 2 -4 -1.0 1
20 Lecce 3 0 1 2 -5 -3.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Genoa
1–0 N. Paz
A. Morata
13′
29′
🟨 Leo Østigård
Álex Valle 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Ruslan Malinovskyi
57′
🔁 Junior Messias
↦ S. Sabelli
A. Douvikas 🔁
↦ A. Morata
65′
M. Perrone 🔁
↦ L. Da Cunha
65′
71′
🔁 C. Ekuban
↦ M. E. Ellertsson
71′
🔁 V. Carboni
↦ R. Malinovskyi
S. Roberto 🔁
↦ M. Caqueret
73′
J. Addai 🔁
↦ N. Kuhn
73′
Sergi Roberto 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 J. Ekhator
↦ L. Colombo
M. Baturina 🔁
↦ J. Rodriguez
85′
Jacobo Ramón 🟥
88′
90′
C. Ekuban 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
31 M. Vojvoda D
14 J. Ramon D
2 M. O. Kempf D
3 A. Valle D
33 L. Da Cunha M
6 M. Caqueret M
19 N. Kuhn M
10 N. Paz M
17 J. Rodriguez M
7 A. Morata F
Bench (13)
22 M. Vigorito
44 N. Cavlina
5 E. Goldaniga
8 S. Roberto
11 A. Douvikas
18 A. Moreno
27 S. Posch
28 I. Smolcic
34 Diego Carlos
42 J. Addai
90 A. Cerri
20 M. Baturina
23 M. Perrone

Coach: Francesc Fàbregas i Soler

Genoa

4-2-3-1
1 N. Leali G
20 S. Sabelli D
5 L. Ostigard D
22 J. Vasquez D
3 A. Martin D
73 P. Masini M
32 M. Frendrup M
15 B. Norton-Cuffy M
17 R. Malinovskyi M
77 M. E. Ellertsson M
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (15)
31 B. Siegrist
39 D. Sommariva
27 A. Marcandalli
34 S. Otoa
2 M. Thorsby
8 N. Stanciu
11 A. Gronbaek
9 Vitinha
10 Junior Messias
18 C. Ekuban
21 J. Ekhator
23 V. Carboni
30 H. F. Cuenca Martinez
40 S. Fini
76 L. Venturino

Coach: Patrick Donalé Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U ✓
3,68
B
5,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Piccinini · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.