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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Bartosz Frankowski

Rakow

S S S S T

0–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/7 matches

Win Ø 49%

40%

57%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

57%

Both score Ø 45%

60%

29%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

9 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 17. · Gornik Zabrze 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Cracovia	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.5	14
3	Korona Kielce	8	4	2	2	+4	-2.1	14
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	1	1	+3	-2.5	13
5	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.2	12
6	Legia	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.6	10
7	Widzew Lodz	8	3	1	4	+2	+2.2	10
8	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	-1	+6.0	10
9	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	1	4	-3	+2.0	10
10	Zaglebie	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.8	9
11	Nieciecza	8	2	3	3	+0	-0.2	9
12	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-3	-1.0	9
13	Radomiak Radom	8	2	2	4	-2	-0.1	8
14	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.9	8
15	Arka Gdynia	8	2	2	4	-5	-3.8	8
16	GKS Katowice	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.8	7
17	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.3	6
18	Piast Gliwice	6	0	4	2	-3	-0.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
3	Cracovia	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.6	10
4	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+4	+0.0	9
5	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
6	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
7	Legia	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
8	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
9	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
10	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
11	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-2	+4.2	7
12	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.3	6
13	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
14	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
15	Motor Lublin	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
16	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
17	Nieciecza	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.5	8
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.8	6
4	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
5	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
7	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
8	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
9	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.9	4
10	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	1	3	-5	+1.6	4
11	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Legia	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.2	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
14	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.2	1
15	Radomiak Radom	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.3	1
16	Arka Gdynia	5	0	1	4	-7	-2.0	1
17	Widzew Lodz	3	0	0	3	-3	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	4	0	0	4	-10	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.