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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Como
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Lazio
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 0,25
63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -25 Lazio – Como 1–1 31. Oct -24 Como – Lazio 1–5

Match report

Como Lazio
Nico Paz 🟨
17′
30′
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
Ignace Van der Brempt 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Douvikas ⚽
N. Paz
47′
61′
🔁 A. Marusic
↦ M. Lazzari
61′
🔁 Pedro
↦ M. Cancellieri
65′
ℹ️ Valentín Castellanos
VAR: Goal cancelled
66′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ N. Tavares
66′
🔁 N. Rovella
↦ D. Cataldi
I. Smolcic 🔁
↦ I. Van der Brempt
70′
A. Morata 🔁
↦ A. Douvikas
70′
73′
🟨 Valentín Castellanos
2–0 N. Paz ⚽
73′
75′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
75′
🔁 B. Dia
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
M. Caqueret 🔁
↦ M. Perrone
78′
S. Roberto 🔁
↦ N. Paz
79′
N. Kuhn 🔁
↦ J. Rodriguez
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
77 I. Van der Brempt D
14 J. Ramon D
2 M. O. Kempf D
3 A. Valle D
23 M. Perrone M
33 L. Da Cunha M
31 M. Vojvoda M
10 N. Paz M
17 J. Rodriguez M
11 A. Douvikas F
Bench (14)
12 Henrique Menke
22 M. Vigorito
5 E. Goldaniga
15 Fellipe Jack
18 A. Moreno
28 I. Smolcic
6 M. Caqueret
8 S. Roberto
20 M. Baturina
7 A. Morata
9 A. Gabrielloni
19 N. Kuhn
63 P. Cutrone
90 I. Azon

Coach: Francesc Fàbregas i Soler

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
34 M. Gila D
25 O. Provstgaard D
17 N. Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
32 D. Cataldi M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
22 M. Cancellieri F
11 T. Castellanos F
10 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (11)
35 C. Mandas
55 A. Furlanetto
3 L. Pellegrini
23 E. Hysaj
77 A. Marusic
6 N. Rovella
21 R. Belahyane
26 T. Basic
9 Pedro
14 T. Noslin
19 B. Dia

Coach: Maurizio Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,44
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B
2,86
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.