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Serie A
Referee: A Colombo
Bologna
S T S S S
5–0
Full-time
Lazio
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
61%
68%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,18 xG 0,47
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 6. · Lazio 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 +36 +27.3 61
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 +22 +19.4 61
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 +37 +24.3 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 +20 +12.0 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 +14 +13.3 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 +10 +10.6 50
7 Milan 29 13 8 8 +11 +17.1 47
8 Roma 28 13 7 8 +13 +9.1 46
9 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 +13 +5.2 45
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 -4 -7.2 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 +0 -13.7 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 -9 -6.3 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 -11 +0.5 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 -29 -16.8 29
15 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 -15 -11.2 26
16 Parma 29 5 10 14 -14 -14.4 25
17 Lecce 29 6 7 16 -27 -20.0 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 -23 -14.8 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 -19 -17.8 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 -25 -16.7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Lazio
1–0 J. Odgaard
Juan Miranda
16′
Remo Freuler 🟨
33′
44′
🟨 Mario Gila Fuentes
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Pedro
↦ G. Isaksen
2–0 R. Orsolini
D. Ndoye
48′
3–0 D. Ndoye
L. Ferguson
49′
57′
🟨 Matías Vecino
G. Fabbian 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
59′
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ R. Freuler
59′
62′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ M. Zaccagni
62′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ B. Dia
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
73′
4–0 S. Castro
T. Pobega
74′
Santiago Castro 🟨
76′
B. Domínguez 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
78′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
78′
78′
🔁 R. Belahyane
↦ M. Guendouzi
83′
🔁 A. Ibrahimović
↦ M. Vecino
5–0 G. Fabbian
Juan Miranda
84′
91′
🟨 Alessio Romagnoli
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
14 D. Calabria D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
33 Juan Miranda D
8 R. Freuler M
19 L. Ferguson M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
11 D. Ndoye M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (15)
80 G. Fabbian
18 T. Pobega
28 N. Cambiaghi
30 B. Domínguez
24 T. Dallinga
6 N. Moro
39 Estanis Pedrola
5 M. Erlić
34 F. Ravaglia
22 C. Lykogiannis
29 L. De Silvestri
17 O. El Azzouzi
20 M. Aebischer
15 N. Casale
2 E. Holm

Coach: V. Italiano

Lazio

4-2-3-1
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
18 G. Isaksen M
5 M. Vecino M
10 M. Zaccagni M
19 B. Dia F
Bench (14)
9 Pedro
20 L. Tchaouna
14 T. Noslin
21 R. Belahyane
27 A. Ibrahimović
30 Nuno Tavares
55 A. Furlanetto
11 V. Castellanos
23 E. Hysaj
26 T. Bašić
25 O. Provstgaard
2 S. Gigot
4 Patric
35 C. Mandas

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,12
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.