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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Strasbourg

S T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Nice

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

30%

90%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Strasbourg 20. · Nice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+16	24
2	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Lille	11	5	3	3	+6	18
4	Reims	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+1	16
6	Angers	10	5	1	4	+0	16
7	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Brest	10	3	5	2	-2	14
11	St Etienne	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Nice	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Metz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Lyon	10	2	4	4	+5	10
18	Nimes	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Strasbourg	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Montpellier	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Brest	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Reims	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Strasbourg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+4	5
17	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Nice	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
10	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Metz	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Nimes	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Toulouse	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Angers	4	1	0	3	-9	3
18	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Strasbourg	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.