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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Angers
S U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Lille
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
35%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 13. · Lille 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 23 19 1 3 +44 58
2 Marseille 23 13 7 3 +11 46
3 Rennes 23 12 4 7 +7 40
4 Lille 23 11 4 8 +2 37
5 Montpellier 23 9 7 7 +4 34
6 Lyon 23 9 6 8 +14 33
7 Reims 23 8 9 6 +6 33
8 Nice 23 9 6 8 +2 33
9 Strasbourg 23 10 3 10 +0 33
10 Monaco 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Nantes 23 10 2 11 -2 32
12 Bordeaux 23 8 7 8 +6 31
13 Angers 23 8 6 9 -6 30
14 Brest 23 7 8 8 -2 29
15 St Etienne 23 8 4 11 -12 28
16 Metz 23 6 9 8 -7 27
17 Dijon 23 6 6 11 -7 24
18 Nimes 23 5 6 12 -15 21
19 Amiens 23 4 8 11 -17 20
20 Toulouse 23 3 4 16 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lille
14′
V. Osimhen 0–1
J. Bamba
38′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Reinildo Isnard Mandava
53′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
Ismaël Traoré 🟨
56′
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ R. Alioui
57′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
58′
67′
🔁 Luiz Araujo
↦ L. Rémy
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ Ismaël Traoré
73′
73′
🔁 Xeka
↦ J. Ikoné
75′
Renato Sanches 0–2
Luiz Araujo
80′
🔁 N. Gaitán
↦ V. Osimhen
Sada Thioub 🟨
85′
Casimir Ninga 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Angers

5-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
8 Ismaël Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle D
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
7 R. Alioui F
20 S. Thioub M
Bench (7)
19 S. Bahoken
27 Mathias Lage
21 C. Ninga
30 D. Petković
3 S. Doumbia
25 A. Bamba
23 A. Bobichon

Coach: S. Moulin

Lille

4-2-2-2
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
17 M. Çelik D
4 Gabriel D
21 B. André M
18 Renato Sanches M
10 J. Ikoné M
9 L. Rémy F
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
11 Luiz Araujo
8 Xeka
20 N. Gaitán
26 J. Pied
24 B. Soumaré
1 Léo Jardim
2 Tiago Djaló

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U
3,03
B ✓
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.