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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Nantes
U S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Angers
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
28%
44%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 5. · Angers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 0 3 +30 42
2 Marseille 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Lille 18 9 4 5 +7 31
4 Rennes 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Nantes 18 9 2 7 +0 29
6 Reims 17 7 6 4 +6 27
7 Bordeaux 18 7 5 6 +7 26
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 +11 25
9 Monaco 17 7 4 6 +1 25
10 Angers 18 7 4 7 -3 25
11 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -6 25
12 Montpellier 18 6 6 6 +3 24
13 Nice 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Strasbourg 18 7 3 8 -2 24
15 Brest 18 5 7 6 +1 22
16 Dijon 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Amiens 17 4 5 8 -12 17
18 Metz 18 3 7 8 -11 16
19 Toulouse 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 17 2 6 9 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Angers
1–0 L. Blas
M. Abeid
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Thioub
↦ P. Capelle
50′
A. Bobichon 1–1
B. Santamaría
65′
🔁 R. Alioui
↦ S. Bahoken
82′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ A. Bobichon
87′
F. El Melali 1–2
Nicolas Pallois 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nantes

4-4-1-1
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
12 D. Appiah D
13 M. Wagué D
14 C. Traoré D
11 M. Abeid M
19 A. Touré M
17 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza F
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon M
Bench (7)
18 S. Moutoussamy
16 A. Olliero
23 T. Basila
24 E. Youan
22 B. Ndilu
10 C. Benavente
21 R. Krhin

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 Ismaël Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
2 R. Aït Nouri D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
23 A. Bobichon M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
20 S. Thioub
7 R. Alioui
28 F. El Melali
26 T. Pellenard
25 A. Bamba
4 M. Pavlović
30 D. Petković

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,09
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.