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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto

Alaves

T U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Eibar

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 15. · Eibar 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	22	14	7	1	+27	49
2	Barcelona	22	14	4	4	+26	46
3	Getafe	22	11	6	5	+12	39
4	Sevilla	22	11	6	5	+7	39
5	Valencia	22	10	7	5	+4	37
6	Ath Madrid	22	9	9	4	+7	36
7	Villarreal	22	10	4	8	+9	34
8	Sociedad	22	10	4	8	+7	34
9	Ath Bilbao	22	7	10	5	+5	31
10	Granada	22	9	3	10	-2	30
11	Osasuna	22	6	10	6	+1	28
12	Betis	22	7	7	8	-4	28
13	Levante	22	8	2	12	-7	26
14	Valladolid	22	5	10	7	-6	25
15	Alaves	22	6	6	10	-9	24
16	Eibar	22	6	6	10	-9	24
17	Mallorca	22	5	3	14	-16	18
18	Leganes	22	4	6	12	-16	18
19	Celta	22	3	8	11	-14	17
20	Espanol	22	3	6	13	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+16	27
3	Valencia	12	7	5	0	+10	26
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	4	1	+8	22
5	Granada	11	7	1	3	+7	22
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Villarreal	11	5	4	2	+9	19
10	Sevilla	11	5	4	2	+5	19
11	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+10	17
12	Osasuna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
13	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
14	Mallorca	12	5	2	5	+2	17
15	Alaves	11	4	4	3	+5	16
16	Eibar	11	5	1	5	-2	16
17	Leganes	12	4	1	7	-6	13
18	Valladolid	10	2	6	2	+3	12
19	Celta	11	2	5	4	-4	11
20	Espanol	11	0	4	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
3	Getafe	11	5	3	3	+4	18
4	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-3	17
5	Villarreal	11	5	0	6	+0	15
6	Barcelona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Ath Madrid	11	3	5	3	-1	14
8	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	-9	13
9	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-4	11
10	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Espanol	11	3	2	6	-9	11
12	Ath Bilbao	11	1	7	3	-3	10
13	Levante	12	3	0	9	-11	9
14	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-7	8
15	Granada	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Betis	11	1	5	5	-10	8
17	Alaves	11	2	2	7	-14	8
18	Celta	11	1	3	7	-10	6
19	Leganes	10	0	5	5	-10	5
20	Mallorca	10	0	1	9	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.