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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Monaco
S T S S U
5–1
Full-time
Lille
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 46%
41%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
44%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 9. · Lille 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 0 3 +30 42
2 Marseille 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Lille 18 9 4 5 +7 31
4 Rennes 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Nantes 18 9 2 7 +0 29
6 Reims 17 7 6 4 +6 27
7 Bordeaux 18 7 5 6 +7 26
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 +11 25
9 Monaco 17 7 4 6 +1 25
10 Angers 18 7 4 7 -3 25
11 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -6 25
12 Montpellier 18 6 6 6 +3 24
13 Nice 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Strasbourg 18 7 3 8 -2 24
15 Brest 18 5 7 6 +1 22
16 Dijon 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Amiens 17 4 5 8 -12 17
18 Metz 18 3 7 8 -11 16
19 Toulouse 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 17 2 6 9 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lille
9′
🟨 José Fonte
13′
V. Osimhen 0–1
J. Ikoné
1–1 Gelson Martins
W. Ben Yedder
23′
Aleksandr Golovin 🟨
28′
2–1 K. Baldé
R. Aguilar
29′
Guillermo Maripán 🟨
31′
38′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ J. Ikoné
Half-time 3–1
3–1 W. Ben Yedder
53′
4–1 W. Ben Yedder
R. Aguilar
65′
Keita Baldé 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ Renato Sanches
Ruben Aguilar 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 Luiz Araujo
↦ V. Osimhen
Danijel Subašić 🟨
78′
Danijel Subašić 🟥
78′
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ K. Baldé
81′
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
85′
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
90′
5–1 K. Glik
Adrien Silva
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Monaco

5-4-1
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
12 R. Aguilar D
3 G. Maripán D
5 Jemerson D
6 T. Bakayoko M
17 A. Golovin M
31 Gil Dias D
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
14 K. Baldé M
Bench (7)
22 J. Augustin
8 Adrien Silva
20 I. Slimani
32 B. Badiashile
4 Fàbregas
1 D. Subašić
18 A. Zagre

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
17 M. Çelik D
4 Gabriel D
29 D. Bradarić D
21 B. André M
18 Renato Sanches M
10 J. Ikoné M
24 B. Soumaré M
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
12 Y. Yazıcı
9 L. Rémy
11 Luiz Araujo
1 Léo Jardim
5 A. Soumaoro
28 Reinildo
20 Thiago Maia

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,52
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.