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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Lens

T T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Paris SG

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

5,5

Scored

1,2

3,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21% Possession 79%

7 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brest	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Nice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.