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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Amiens
U T U U T
4–4
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,8
4,5
Scored
0,7
3,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
42%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,6
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 19. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 24 20 1 3 +46 61
2 Marseille 24 14 7 3 +12 49
3 Rennes 24 12 5 7 +7 41
4 Lille 24 12 4 8 +4 40
5 Monaco 25 11 5 9 +1 38
6 Montpellier 25 10 7 8 +4 37
7 Strasbourg 24 11 3 10 +3 36
8 Bordeaux 24 9 7 8 +7 34
9 Lyon 24 9 6 9 +12 33
10 Reims 24 8 9 7 +3 33
11 Nice 24 9 6 9 +0 33
12 Nantes 24 10 3 11 -2 33
13 Brest 24 7 9 8 -2 30
14 Angers 24 8 6 10 -8 30
15 St Etienne 24 8 4 12 -13 28
16 Metz 24 6 9 9 -8 27
17 Dijon 24 6 7 11 -7 25
18 Nimes 24 6 6 12 -13 24
19 Amiens 24 4 8 12 -18 20
20 Toulouse 24 3 4 17 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Paris SG
1–0 S. Guirassy
G. Kakuta
5′
2–0 G. Kakuta
F. Diabaté
29′
3–0 F. Diabaté
G. Kakuta
40′
45′
Ander Herrera 3–1
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 M. Verratti
↦ I. Gueye
46′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ Thiago Silva
49′
🟨 Mitchel Bakker
60′
N. Kouassi 3–2
J. Draxler
61′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ L. Paredes
65′
N. Kouassi 3–3
Á. Di María
Alexis Blin 🟨
71′
74′
M. Icardi 3–4
Juan Bernat
Q. Cornette 🔁
↦ F. Otero
78′
C. Jallet 🔁
↦ A. Calabresi
79′
Gaël Kakuta 🟨
81′
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
84′
Sehrou Guirassy 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Marco Verratti
4–4 S. Guirassy
Q. Cornette
91′
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
3 A. Calabresi D
4 N. Opoku D
10 G. Kakuta M
8 B. Zungu M
17 A. Blin M
9 S. Guirassy F
28 F. Diabaté M
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
29 Q. Cornette
13 C. Jallet
21 I. Mbenza
5 E. Gnahoré
19 C. Akolo
16 M. Dreyer
15 M. Konaté

Coach: L. Elsner

Paris SG

4-2-2-2
1 K. Navas G
2 Thiago Silva D
25 M. Bakker D
33 N. Kouassi D
11 Á. Di María M
21 Ander Herrera D
27 I. Gueye M
8 L. Paredes M
23 J. Draxler M
9 E. Cavani F
18 M. Icardi F
Bench (7)
6 M. Verratti
5 Marquinhos
14 Juan Bernat
34 A. Aouchiche
16 Sergio Rico
17 E. Choupo-Moting
4 T. Kehrer

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,31
U ✓
5,68
B
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.