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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Nice
T S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Lens
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
4 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Lens
Dante 🟨
10′
11′
⚽ G. Kakuta 0–1
1–1 A. Gouiri ⚽
H. Kamara
23′
A. Pelmard 🔁
↦ Robson Bambu
33′
41′
🟨 Facundo Medina
Hassane Kamara 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Yannick Cahuzac
61′
🔁 C. Jean
↦ F. Sotoca
61′
🔁 S. Banza
↦ I. Ganago
D. Ndoye 🔁
↦ K. Thuram-Ulien
68′
68′
🔁 T. Mauricio
↦ G. Kakuta
71′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
2–1 A. Gouiri ⚽
P. Lees Melou
75′
77′
🔁 I. Sylla
↦ I. Boura
P. Burner 🔁
↦ J. Lotomba
91′
E. Sylvestre 🔁
↦ A. Claude Maurice
92′
E. Guessand 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 J. Lotomba D
3 Robson Bambu D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
13 H. Kamara D
8 P. Lees Melou M
10 A. Claude Maurice F
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
9 K. Dolberg F
11 A. Gouiri F
Bench (8)
24 A. Pelmard
14 D. Ndoye
34 E. Sylvestre
35 E. Guessand
15 P. Burner
27 A. Trouillet
33 F. Daniliuc
30 Y. Cardinale

Coach: P. Vieira

Lens

3-4-1-2
16 J. Leca G
24 J. Gradit D
13 C. Michelin M
14 F. Medina D
4 L. Badé D
18 Y. Cahuzac M
10 G. Kakuta F
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
27 I. Ganago F
33 I. Boura M
Bench (9)
25 C. Jean
23 S. Banza
22 T. Mauricio
3 I. Sylla
15 Steven Fortès
6 M. Perez
5 Z. Diallo
30 W. Fariñez
9 G. Robail

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B
3,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,11
🔒
U2,5
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.