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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Lorient
S T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Monaco
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
2 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 12. · Monaco 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
6 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lorient 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Monaco
1–0 T. Moffi
31′
45′
🟨 Ismail Jakobs
Half-time 1–0
Houboulang Mendes 🟨
52′
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ Jean Lucas
57′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ I. Jakobs
57′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ M. Boadu
E. Le Fée 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
68′
68′
🔁 Fàbregas
↦ Gelson Martins
68′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ S. Diop
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
84′
Pierre-Yves Hamel 🟨
85′
R. Bourlès 🔁
↦ F. Lemoine
85′
A. Grbić 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
85′
91′
🟨 Kevin Volland
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lorient

5-3-2
30 P. Nardi G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
2 Igor Silva D
17 H. Mendes D
18 F. Lemoine M
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
28 A. Laurienté F
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
10 E. Le Fée
29 P. Hamel
31 R. Bourlès
27 A. Grbić
5 T. Fontaine
34 A. Meité
1 M. Dreyer
33 D. Faissal Ouattara
14 J. Hergault

Coach: C. Pélissier

Monaco

3-4-3
16 A. Nübel G
19 D. Sidibé D
6 A. Disasi D
21 S. Pavlović D
7 Gelson Martins M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
11 Jean Lucas M
37 S. Diop F
31 K. Volland F
14 I. Jakobs M
9 M. Boadu F
Bench (9)
17 A. Golovin
12 Caio Henrique
10 W. Ben Yedder
4 Fàbregas
27 K. Diatta
22 Y. Fofana
1 R. Majecki
26 R. Aguilar
3 G. Maripán

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,21
U
3,52
B
1,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.