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2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04

T S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

0,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 1

14 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 9. · Erzgebirge Aue 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Dresden	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Paderborn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dresden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.