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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Brentford
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brentford Arsenal
1–0 Sergi Canós ⚽
E. Pinnock
22′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 B. Saka
↦ F. Balogun
M. Sørensen 🔁
↦ K. Ajer
71′
71′
🔁 R. Nelson
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
2–0 C. Nørgaard ⚽
73′
M. Bidstrup 🔁
↦ F. Onyeka
80′
81′
🔁 Nuno Tavares
↦ C. Chambers
M. Forss 🔁
↦ B. Mbeumo
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brentford

3-5-2
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
20 K. Ajer D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
27 V. Janelt M
15 F. Onyeka M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
29 M. Sørensen
28 M. Bidstrup
9 M. Forss
13 P. Gunnarsson
14 S. Ghoddos
11 Y. Wissa
4 C. Goode
21 H. Dervişoğlu
30 M. Rasmussen

Coach: T. Frank

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
22 Pablo Marí D
21 C. Chambers D
3 K. Tierney D
4 B. White D
34 G. Xhaka M
10 E. Smith Rowe M
23 A. Lokonga M
19 N. Pépé M
26 F. Balogun F
35 Gabriel Martinelli M
Bench (9)
7 B. Saka
24 R. Nelson
20 Nuno Tavares
16 R. Holding
2 Bellerín
25 Mohamed Elneny
17 Cédric Soares
49 K. Hein
15 A. Maitland-Niles

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,02
🔒
U
3,43
🔒
B
2,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.