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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Lens
U S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Reims
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lens 2. · Reims 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +15 24
2 Lens 8 4 3 1 +4 15
3 Nice 7 4 2 1 +12 14
4 Marseille 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Angers 8 3 4 1 +4 13
6 Lorient 8 3 4 1 +1 13
7 Lyon 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Monaco 8 3 2 3 +0 11
9 Lille 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Nantes 8 3 1 4 +1 10
11 Reims 8 2 4 2 +1 10
12 Strasbourg 8 3 1 4 -1 10
13 Rennes 8 2 3 3 +1 9
14 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Clermont 8 2 3 3 -8 9
16 Bordeaux 8 1 4 3 -6 7
17 Troyes 8 1 3 4 -4 6
18 Metz 8 1 3 4 -7 6
19 Brest 8 0 4 4 -7 4
20 St Etienne 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lens Reims
Facundo Medina 🟨
26′
Kevin Danso 🟨
33′
44′
ℹ️ Hugo Ekitike
VAR: Card upgrade
45′
🟥 Hugo Ekitike
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
46′
2–0 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
F. Sotoca
52′
Gaël Kakuta 🟨
57′
58′
🟨 Yunis Abdelhamid
64′
🔁 E. Touré
↦ A. Matusiwa
M. Haïdara 🔁
↦ F. Medina
72′
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
72′
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
72′
72′
🔁 F. Doucouré
↦ M. van Bergen
72′
🔁 Moreto Cassamá
↦ A. Flips
72′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ I. Kebbal
D. Machado 🔁
↦ P. Frankowski
84′
Y. Cahuzac 🔁
↦ C. Doucouré
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-1-2
16 J. Leca G
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
29 P. Frankowski M
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
15 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga F
Bench (9)
21 M. Haïdara
9 I. Ganago
22 W. Saïd
3 D. Machado
18 Y. Cahuzac
1 W. Fariñez
20 David Costa
5 C. Wooh
19 I. Boura

Coach: F. Haise

Reims

4-3-3
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
3 G. Konan D
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi M
20 I. Kebbal F
12 A. Flips M
19 M. van Bergen F
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
7 E. Touré
13 F. Doucouré
23 Moreto Cassamá
11 N. Mbuku
16 Y. Diouf
28 B. Locko
29 M. Mbow
17 A. Donis
26 D. Lopy

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,58
B
4,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.