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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Lille
T U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Reims
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 15. · Reims 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +12 18
2 Marseille 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Lens 6 3 3 0 +4 12
4 Nice 5 3 2 0 +10 11
5 Angers 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Clermont 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Lorient 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Lyon 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Nantes 6 2 1 3 +1 7
11 Reims 6 1 4 1 +0 7
12 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Monaco 6 1 2 3 -4 5
15 Lille 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Rennes 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Bordeaux 6 1 2 3 -6 5
18 Brest 6 0 4 2 -4 4
19 St Etienne 6 0 3 3 -5 3
20 Metz 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Reims
8′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ V. Berisha
1–0 J. David
B. Yılmaz
31′
2–0 B. André
B. Yılmaz
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Kebbal
↦ T. Foket
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ T. Weah
60′
67′
🔁 A. Flips
↦ H. Ekitike
67′
🔁 P. Koffi
↦ N. Mbuku
Sven Botman 🟨
73′
73′
ℹ️ Marshall Munetsi
VAR: Penalty awarded
74′
A. Flips 2–1
D. Bradarić 🔁
↦ G. Gudmundsson
75′
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
75′
76′
🔁 A. Donis
↦ M. van Bergen
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ A. Onana
85′
91′
🟨 Andrew Gravillon
Yusuf Yazıcı 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
1 I. Grbić G
6 José Fonte D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
4 S. Botman D
21 B. André M
10 J. Ikoné M
24 A. Onana M
17 B. Yılmaz F
22 T. Weah M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
20 A. Gomes
29 D. Bradarić
11 Y. Yazıcı
27 C. Niasse
34 R. Ascone
26 J. Pied
3 Tiago Djaló
16 A. Jakubech
19 I. Lihadji

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Reims

5-3-2
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
6 A. Gravillon D
3 G. Konan D
14 V. Berisha M
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi M
19 M. van Bergen F
11 N. Mbuku F
Bench (9)
22 H. Ekitike
20 I. Kebbal
12 A. Flips
34 P. Koffi
17 A. Donis
13 F. Doucouré
23 Moreto Cassamá
28 B. Locko
16 Y. Diouf

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,68
B
5,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.