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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Ath Bilbao

S S U T U

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — La Liga · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 23%

29%

17%

Points per game

1,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 24%

14%

33%

Both score Ø 30%

43%

17%

Average goals

1,4

2,2

Scored

0,9

0,3

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Alaves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Sociedad	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Sevilla	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Vallecano	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Barcelona	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Betis	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Valencia	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Osasuna	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Ath Bilbao	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Villarreal	6	1	5	0	+3	8
12	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Celta	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Elche	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Levante	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Granada	7	0	3	4	-7	3
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Getafe	7	0	0	7	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Sociedad	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Betis	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Celta	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Betis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Villarreal	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Cadiz	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Elche	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Barcelona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Levante	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.