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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Angers
S T T U S
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
10%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · St Etienne 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 16 5 1 +28 53
2 Nice 22 13 4 5 +18 43
3 Marseille 21 11 7 3 +14 40
4 Strasbourg 22 10 5 7 +15 35
5 Rennes 22 10 4 8 +20 34
6 Montpellier 22 10 4 8 +7 34
7 Monaco 22 9 6 7 +9 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 +5 33
9 Nantes 22 9 5 8 +3 32
10 Lyon 21 8 8 5 +2 32
11 Lille 22 8 8 6 +0 32
12 Angers 21 7 8 6 +0 29
13 Brest 22 7 7 8 -5 28
14 Reims 22 5 9 8 -5 24
15 Clermont 22 5 6 11 -17 21
16 Troyes 22 5 5 12 -11 20
17 Bordeaux 22 4 8 10 -19 20
18 Metz 22 4 7 11 -19 19
19 Lorient 22 3 8 11 -20 17
20 St Etienne 21 2 6 13 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers St Etienne
39′
🔁 D. Bouanga
↦ B. Sako
43′
B. Mendy 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
59′
73′
🔁 A. Aouchiche
↦ A. Moueffek
W. Taibi 🔁
↦ B. Brahimi
74′
J. Mbock 🔁
↦ C. Ninga
74′
74′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ S. Thioub
N. Fatar 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
88′
G. Nadje 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
88′
Jason Mbock 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Mahdi Camara
91′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ A. Nordin
92′
🔁 E. Dieye
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

3-5-2
30 D. Petković G
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
2 B. Mendy D
5 T. Mangani M
23 N. Bentaleb M
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini M
27 Mathias Lage M
9 C. Ninga F
14 B. Brahimi F
Bench (9)
15 P. Capelle
26 W. Taibi
35 J. Mbock
17 N. Fatar
32 G. Nadje
34 M. Corduan
33 D. Meddah
25 A. Bamba
16 A. Mandrea

Coach: G. Baticle

St Etienne

3-4-2-1
50 P. Bernardoni G
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
3 M. Nade D
27 Y. Maçon M
7 R. Boudebouz F
8 M. Camara D
29 A. Moueffek M
6 L. Gourna-Douath M
26 B. Sako F
31 S. Thioub M
18 A. Nordin F
Bench (9)
20 D. Bouanga
17 A. Aouchiche
28 Z. Youssouf
33 E. Dieye
25 A. Dioussé
40 E. Green
34 L. Llort
32 L. Mouton
30 M. Rivera

Coach: P. Dupraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,29
B ✓
3,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.