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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
St Etienne
U S S T T
0–5
Full-time
Rennes
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
56%
31%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 10
6 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 20. · Rennes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 13 3 1 +20 42
2 Marseille 16 8 5 3 +9 29
3 Rennes 16 8 4 4 +13 28
4 Nice 16 8 4 4 +13 28
5 Lens 17 7 6 4 +7 27
6 Brest 17 6 6 5 +2 24
7 Lille 17 6 6 5 -1 24
8 Strasbourg 16 6 5 5 +9 23
9 Monaco 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Angers 16 5 7 4 +2 22
11 Montpellier 16 6 4 6 +1 22
12 Lyon 15 6 4 5 +0 22
13 Nantes 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Reims 16 4 7 5 -1 19
15 Troyes 17 4 4 9 -9 16
16 Lorient 16 3 6 7 -12 15
17 Clermont 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Bordeaux 16 2 7 7 -13 13
19 Metz 16 2 6 8 -15 12
20 St Etienne 16 2 6 8 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Rennes
S. Sow 🔁
↦ H. Moukoudi
21′
22′
M. Terrier 0–1
L. Majer
23′
ℹ️ Martin Terrier
VAR: Goal confirmed
28′
M. Terrier 0–2
L. Majer
45′
Y. Maçon 1–2
own goal
Half-time 1–2
D. Bouanga 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
46′
48′
M. Terrier 1–3
L. Majer
Y. Lhéry 🔁
↦ J. Krasso
62′
Z. Youssouf 🔁
↦ A. Nordin
62′
63′
🔁 K. Sulemana
↦ M. Terrier
75′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ J. Martin
Mahdi Camara 🟨
76′
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
77′
81′
🔁 L. Badé
↦ N. Aguerd
81′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ B. Bourigeaud
81′
🔁 L. Ugochukwu
↦ L. Majer
83′
L. Ugochukwu 1–4
G. Laborde
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-4-2
40 E. Green G
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
2 H. Moukoudi D
33 M. Nade D
27 Y. Maçon D
7 R. Boudebouz M
8 M. Camara M
17 A. Aouchiche M
10 W. Khazri F
14 J. Krasso F
18 A. Nordin M
Bench (9)
4 S. Sow
20 D. Bouanga
32 Y. Lhéry
28 Z. Youssouf
6 L. Gourna-Douath
13 M. Trauco
9 I. Ramírez
26 M. Rivera
1 S. Bajić

Coach: C. Puel

Rennes

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
6 N. Aguerd D
23 W. Omari D
3 A. Truffert D
22 L. Assignon D
28 J. Martin M
14 B. Bourigeaud F
8 B. Santamaría M
21 L. Majer M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
10 K. Sulemana
9 S. Guirassy
4 L. Badé
17 L. Tchaouna
26 L. Ugochukwu
18 M. Abline
1 R. Salin
19 A. Diouf
27 H. Traoré

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,16
U
3,74
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.