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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Eupen
T T T T U
0–2
Full-time
Standard
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
29%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
61%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 15. · Standard 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 21 13 7 1 +37 46
3 Club Brugge 20 12 5 3 +15 41
4 Antwerp 21 12 4 5 +15 40
5 Kortrijk 25 10 10 5 +8 40
6 Cercle Brugge 25 10 4 11 +5 34
7 Charleroi 20 9 6 5 +9 33
8 Genk 19 9 4 6 +16 31
9 St Truiden 26 9 4 13 -9 31
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 7 8 9 -4 29
11 Mechelen 21 9 2 10 -6 29
12 Gent 19 7 7 5 +7 28
13 Standard 23 7 7 9 -11 28
14 Oostende 24 8 3 13 -20 27
15 Eupen 24 7 5 12 -9 26
16 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -20 23
17 Seraing 23 6 1 16 -25 19
18 Seraing United 23 6 1 16 -25 19
19 Beerschot VA 23 4 3 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Standard
18′
🟨 Alexandro Calut
Boris Lambert 🟨
19′
45′
R. Emond 0–1
Half-time 0–1
T. Alloh 🔁
↦ Jordi Amat
46′
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
66′
I. Konstantelias 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
66′
70′
🔁 S. Bastien
↦ A. Dønnum
70′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ R. Emond
T. Müsel 🔁
↦ A. Beck
77′
79′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ J. Muleka
79′
🔁 N. Nkounkou
↦ M. Cafaro
J. Déom 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
85′
87′
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
90′
D. Drăguş 0–2
M. Carcela-González
94′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ N. Raskin
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eupen

3-1-4-2
33 A. Nurudeen G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
24 S. Gnaka M
35 B. Lambert M
15 G. Magnée M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
7 J. Ngoy F
11 K. N’Dri F
Bench (7)
3 T. Alloh
9 S. Prevljak
10 I. Konstantelias
31 T. Müsel
14 J. Déom
26 J. Cools
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: S. Krämer

Standard

4-4-2
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
2 G. Dewaele D
3 A. Al Dakhil D
31 A. Calut D
20 M. Bokadi M
24 M. Cafaro M
26 N. Raskin M
18 R. Emond F
11 A. Dønnum M
17 J. Muleka F
Bench (7)
28 S. Bastien
10 M. Carcela-González
7 D. Drăguş
14 N. Nkounkou
22 M. Lestienne
40 M. Epolo
35 L. Noubi

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,41
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.