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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Leicester
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
20%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
75%
45%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,70 xG 1,82
57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 19. · Crystal Palace 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 20 14 5 1 +28 +28.8 47
2 Nott'm Forest 21 12 5 4 +10 +2.4 41
3 Arsenal 20 11 7 2 +21 +16.9 40
4 Chelsea 21 10 7 4 +15 +12.6 37
5 Newcastle 20 10 5 5 +12 +11.3 35
6 Man City 21 10 5 6 +9 +7.3 35
7 Bournemouth 21 9 7 5 +7 +13.5 34
8 Aston Villa 20 9 5 6 -2 +6.7 32
9 Fulham 21 7 9 5 +2 +3.3 30
10 Brentford 21 8 4 9 +3 -0.1 28
11 Brighton 20 6 10 4 +1 -2.3 28
12 West Ham 21 7 5 9 -14 -8.1 26
13 Tottenham 20 7 3 10 +12 +2.3 24
14 Man United 20 6 5 9 -5 -2.5 23
15 Crystal Palace 20 4 9 7 -7 -1.6 21
16 Everton 19 3 8 8 -10 -8.4 17
17 Wolves 20 4 4 12 -14 -11.9 16
18 Ipswich 20 3 7 10 -15 -22.3 16
19 Leicester 20 3 5 12 -21 -20.9 14
20 Southampton 20 1 3 16 -32 -27.2 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Crystal Palace
20′
🔁 C. Doucouré
↦ J. Lerma
Half-time 0–1
52′
J. Mateta 0–1
I. Sarr
62′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ W. Hughes
P. Daka 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
66′
K. McAteer 🔁
↦ F. Buonanotte
66′
O. Skipp 🔁
↦ H. Winks
66′
78′
M. Guéhi 0–2
E. Eze
79′
🔁 N. Clyne
↦ T. Mitchell
79′
🔁 J. Devenny
↦ E. Eze
79′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ J. Mateta
J. Ayew 🔁
↦ J. Justin
80′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leicester

4-2-3-1
41 J. Stolarczyk G
2 J. Justin D
3 W. Faes D
23 J. Vestergaard D
16 V. Kristiansen D
8 H. Winks M
24 B. Soumaré M
40 F. Buonanotte M
11 B. El Khannouss M
10 S. Mavididi M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (9)
20 P. Daka
35 K. McAteer
22 O. Skipp
18 J. Ayew
14 B. De Cordova-Reid
33 L. Thomas
4 C. Coady
31 D. Iversen
17 H. Choudhury

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 M. Guéhi D
12 D. Muñoz M
19 W. Hughes M
8 J. Lerma M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
10 E. Eze F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
28 C. Doucouré
18 D. Kamada
17 N. Clyne
55 J. Devenny
9 E. Nketiah
15 J. Schlupp
58 C. Kporha
30 M. Turner
34 C. Riad

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,88
U
3,73
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.