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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Lille
S T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Reims
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
63%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 7. · Reims 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +33 44
2 Lens 17 12 4 1 +18 40
3 Marseille 16 10 3 3 +18 33
4 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +10 33
5 Rennes 16 9 4 3 +15 31
6 Lorient 17 9 4 4 +4 31
7 Lille 16 9 2 5 +6 29
8 Lyon 17 7 3 7 +6 24
9 Clermont 17 6 4 7 -5 22
10 Nice 16 5 6 5 -2 21
11 Reims 16 4 8 4 -3 20
12 Toulouse 17 5 4 8 -10 19
13 Troyes 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Montpellier 16 5 2 9 -3 17
15 Nantes 17 3 8 6 -6 17
16 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 -11 15
17 Brest 17 3 4 10 -15 13
18 Auxerre 17 3 4 10 -19 13
19 Strasbourg 17 1 8 8 -11 11
20 Angers 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Reims
29′
🟨 Yunis Abdelhamid
1–0 J. David
32′
Half-time 1–0
Alexsandro Ribeiro 🔁
↦ José Fonte
46′
56′
🔁 J. Cajuste
↦ A. Flips
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ E. Zhegrova
59′
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ J. David
70′
71′
🔁 D. Lopy
↦ A. Matusiwa
71′
🔁 M. Busi
↦ T. Foket
71′
🔁 A. Zeneli
↦ M. van Bergen
79′
J. Cajuste 1–1
T. De Smet
T. Weah 🔁
↦ B. Diakité
84′
André Gomes 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
84′
Alexsandro Ribeiro 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 A. Gravillon
↦ T. De Smet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lille

3-4-2-1
30 L. Chevalier G
18 B. Diakité D
6 José Fonte D
3 Tiago Djaló D
23 E. Zhegrova M
21 B. André M
20 A. Gomes M
31 Ismaily M
10 R. Cabella F
7 J. Bamba F
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro
11 A. Ounas
26 A. Virginius
22 T. Weah
28 André Gomes
8 J. Martin
16 A. Jakubech
27 M. Bayo
38 S. Ramet

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Reims

4-2-3-1
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
25 T. De Smet D
15 M. Munetsi M
21 A. Matusiwa M
39 J. Ito M
70 A. Flips M
19 M. van Bergen M
7 N. Holm F
Bench (9)
8 J. Cajuste
17 D. Lopy
4 M. Busi
10 A. Zeneli
6 A. Gravillon
3 K. Doumbia
99 R. Guitane
9 K. Sierhuis
1 P. Pentz

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
4,04
B
4,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.