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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Kilmarnock
T S T U S
0–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 18 1 1 +46 55
2 Rangers 20 14 4 2 +26 46
3 Hearts 18 8 4 6 +2 28
4 Aberdeen 19 8 1 10 +1 25
5 St Mirren 17 7 4 6 -4 25
6 ST Johnstone 19 7 3 9 -5 24
7 Livingston 18 7 3 8 -10 24
8 Hibernian 19 7 2 10 -6 23
9 Kilmarnock 19 5 4 10 -16 19
10 Motherwell 18 5 3 10 -5 18
11 Dundee United 18 4 4 10 -11 16
12 Ross County 19 4 3 12 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Oct -22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 12. May -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 3–3 6. Feb -21 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–0 2. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 26. Sep -20 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1

Match report

Kilmarnock St Mirren
8′
🟥 Ethan Erhahon
15′
🔁 A. Gogić
↦ E. Brophy
Half-time 0–0
Jordan Jones 🔁
↦ B. Alston
63′
71′
🟨 Charles Dunne
F. Murray 🔁
↦ J. Wright
75′
76′
🟨 Alexander Gogić
78′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ G. Kiltie
84′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ C. Main
84′
🔁 J. Shaughnessy
↦ R. Strain
Rory McKenzie 🟨
88′
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
89′
Ash Taylor 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Joe Shaughnessy
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
8 B. Alston M
33 B. Chrisene M
7 R. McKenzie F
26 C. Doidge F
16 S. Robinson F
Bench (9)
10 Jordan Jones
15 F. Murray
9 O. Shaw
1 Z. Hemming
17 B. Lyons
21 K. McInroy
18 C. Waters
29 B. Wales
6 C. Stokes

Coach: D. McInnes

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
11 G. Kiltie M
10 C. Main F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (9)
13 A. Gogić
8 R. Flynn
21 A. Greive
4 J. Shaughnessy
30 F. Taylor
15 D. Reid
20 T. Olusanya
5 R. Taylor
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
🔒
U ✓
3,23
🔒
B
2,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.