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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Vitesse

T U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Utrecht

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 15/13 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

23%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

47%

54%

Both score Ø 69%

53%

85%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 3. · Utrecht 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	2	2	+42	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	10	4	1	+22	34
3	Vitesse	15	10	2	3	+14	32
4	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+19	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	7	7	1	+13	28
6	Twente	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Groningen	14	8	2	4	+3	26
8	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-1	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	2	7	-1	17
10	Zwolle	15	3	8	4	-6	17
11	Utrecht	13	3	7	3	-3	16
12	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-10	16
13	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-11	15
14	Waalwijk	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-21	12
16	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-21	10
17	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-15	9
18	FC Emmen	15	0	5	10	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+19	19
3	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-16	8
14	Heracles	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-12	3
18	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+23	16
3	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	5	0	+6	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	4	1	+7	13
6	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
13	Zwolle	7	1	4	2	-6	7
14	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.