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Eredivisie
Referee: C Bax
FC Emmen
T T T U U
2–3
Full-time
Utrecht
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
18%
Points per game
0,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 76%
69%
82%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 18. · Utrecht 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 13 11 0 2 +42 33
2 PSV Eindhoven 13 9 3 1 +19 30
3 Vitesse 13 9 2 2 +14 29
4 Groningen 13 8 2 3 +4 26
5 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +14 24
6 Twente 13 7 3 3 +10 24
7 AZ Alkmaar 12 6 5 1 +11 23
8 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 +4 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 2 6 -1 14
10 Zwolle 13 2 7 4 -8 13
11 For Sittard 14 3 4 7 -12 13
12 Utrecht 11 2 6 3 -4 12
13 Heracles 13 3 3 7 -10 12
14 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 -13 12
15 VVV Venlo 13 2 3 8 -19 9
16 Willem II 13 2 2 9 -14 8
17 Den Haag 13 1 4 8 -20 7
18 FC Emmen 13 0 5 8 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Utrecht
22′
E. Elia 0–1
S. van de Streek
1–1 M. Araujo
27′
2–1 L. Bernadou
43′
Half-time 2–1
56′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ B. Ramselaar
60′
J. van Overeem 2–2
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ A. Jansen
69′
S. Sidibe 🔁
↦ M. Kolar
69′
75′
Adrián Dalmau 2–3
G. Kerk
76′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ E. Elia
B. Scholte 🔁
↦ N. Bakker
84′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-3-3
26 D. Telgenkamp G
22 C. Cavlan D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 M. Araujo D
4 N. Bakker D
3 K. Veendorp M
23 G. Bijl M
10 S. Peña F
24 L. Bernadou F
6 A. Jansen M
9 M. Kolar F
Bench (10)
17 D. Avdijaj
25 S. Sidibe
19 B. Scholte
14 F. Görgülü
1 F. Wiedwald
32 R. de Vos
20 M. Chacón
21 H. Ben Moussa
93 S. van der Lei
7 S. Tibbling

Coach: D. Lukkien

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
3 J. Hoogma D
25 T. St. Jago D
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
23 B. Ramselaar M
11 E. Elia F
19 M. Mahi F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (12)
9 Adrián Dalmau
29 M. Sylla
26 O. Boussaid
40 S. Mokono
10 S. Gustafson
14 W. Janssen
34 C. Mamengi
24 O. Velanas
50 J. Houweling
20 G. Troupée
28 U. Emanuelson
16 T. Nijhuis

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,51
U
4,17
B ✓
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.