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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

64%

22%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

64%

44%

Both score Ø 67%

55%

78%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

6 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Utrecht 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	0	2	+40	30
2	Vitesse	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Feyenoord	10	7	3	0	+15	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+15	24
5	Groningen	12	7	2	3	+3	23
6	Twente	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Heerenveen	12	5	5	2	+5	20
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	5	1	+7	17
9	Sparta Rotterdam	11	4	2	5	+0	14
10	Zwolle	12	2	6	4	-8	12
11	Waalwijk	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Utrecht	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	For Sittard	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	VVV Venlo	12	2	3	7	-18	9
16	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	12	0	4	8	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
2	Vitesse	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Zwolle	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-16	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
12	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
13	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
14	For Sittard	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	FC Emmen	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.