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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

S S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Vitesse

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 60%

50%

69%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

83%

46%

Both score Ø 65%

75%

54%

Average goals

4,1

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Vitesse 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	0	2	+42	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Vitesse	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	Groningen	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Twente	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	5	1	+11	23
8	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+4	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	2	6	+1	17
10	Utrecht	12	3	6	3	-3	15
11	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
12	For Sittard	14	3	4	7	-12	13
13	Heracles	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Waalwijk	14	3	3	8	-13	12
15	VVV Venlo	14	2	3	9	-22	9
16	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-14	8
17	Den Haag	13	1	4	8	-20	7
18	FC Emmen	14	0	5	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
14	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Den Haag	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+23	15
3	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
12	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
13	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-12	5
14	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
17	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.