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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Heerenveen
U S T U T
3–0
Full-time
Den Haag
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 19%
29%
8%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Den Haag 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +55 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 6 3 +29 51
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 14 7 3 +21 49
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 +14 45
5 Feyenoord 23 13 5 5 +26 44
6 Groningen 23 12 5 6 +7 41
7 Twente 25 9 9 7 +7 36
8 Utrecht 21 8 8 5 +7 32
9 For Sittard 24 9 4 11 -7 31
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -3 30
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 -11 29
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 23 6 5 12 -8 23
14 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
15 VVV Venlo 24 6 4 14 -29 22
16 Willem II 25 4 6 15 -27 18
17 Den Haag 24 2 9 13 -30 15
18 FC Emmen 25 2 7 16 -32 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Den Haag
1–0 S. de Jong ⚽
8′
Paweł Bochniewicz 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🔁 J. Familio-Castillo
↦ B. Kemper
61′
🔁 V. Besuijen
↦ B. Adekanye
R. Kongolo 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
65′
L. Woudenberg 🔁
↦ R. Kaib
65′
Mitchell Van Bergen 🟨
67′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
74′
R. Hajal 🔁
↦ S. de Jong
74′
2–0 H. Veerman ⚽
78′
79′
🔁 J. Arweiler
↦ R. Kishna
79′
🔁 Y. Mokhtar
↦ J. Goossens
Joey Veerman ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
82′
3–0 J. Veerman ⚽
R. Hajal
89′
90′
🟨 Jonas Arweiler
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Mulder G
25 P. Bochniewicz D
14 I. Dresevic D
41 R. Kaib D
3 J. van Hecke D
43 L. Schöne M
6 S. de Jong M
44 T. Halilović M
20 J. Veerman M
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen M
Bench (10)
21 R. Kongolo
5 L. Woudenberg
8 B. Nygren
17 R. Hajal
2 S. Floranus
42 S. van Ottele
16 A. van der Heide
10 O. Meier
23 J. Bekkema
22 A. Harush

Coach: J. Jansen

Den Haag

4-3-3
90 M. Fraisl G
4 B. Kemper D
19 S. Pinas D
2 M. van Ewijk D
25 J. Amofa D
10 A. El Khayati M
88 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. Goossens M
29 M. Kramer F
31 R. Kishna F
24 B. Adekanye F
Bench (9)
5 J. Familio-Castillo
20 V. Besuijen
9 J. Arweiler
30 Y. Mokhtar
23 Pascu
1 L. Koopmans
12 C. Seedorf
15 D. Del Fabro
18 D. Philipp

Coach: R. Brood

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,35
B
6,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.