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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Motherwell
S T T U S
3–1
Full-time
Livingston
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
26%
37%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
45%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
39%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Livingston 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 31 27 4 0 +65 85
2 Celtic 31 20 7 4 +42 67
3 Hibernian 30 15 7 8 +13 52
4 Aberdeen 31 13 9 9 +2 48
5 Livingston 30 11 7 12 +0 40
6 St Mirren 31 10 9 12 -5 39
7 Dundee United 31 8 11 12 -15 35
8 ST Johnstone 31 8 10 13 -8 34
9 Motherwell 31 8 8 15 -18 32
10 Ross County 30 7 5 18 -32 26
11 Kilmarnock 31 7 4 20 -16 25
12 Hamilton 30 6 7 17 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Oct -20 Livingston – Motherwell 0–2 12. Aug -20 Motherwell – Livingston 2–2 1. Feb -20 Livingston – Motherwell 1–0 2. Nov -19 Motherwell – Livingston 2–1 3. Aug -19 Livingston – Motherwell 0–0

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
C. Long 🔁
↦ T. Watt
23′
1–0 D. Cole ⚽
31′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Marvin Bartley
56′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ S. Lawson
56′
🔁 S. Pittman
↦ A. Taylor-Sinclair
58′
🟨 Jon Guthrie
2–0 D. Cole ⚽
B. Maguire
59′
60′
⚽ J. Fitzwater 2–1
J. Guthrie
Stephen O'Donnell 🟨
63′
3–1 C. Long ⚽
D. Cole
69′
70′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
72′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ M. Bartley
Christopher Long 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
D. Gallagher 🔁
↦ C. Long
86′
N. McGinley 🔁
↦ J. Roberts
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
40 T. Magloire D
8 R. Crawford M
39 J. Roberts F
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
Bench (9)
9 C. Long
31 D. Gallagher
5 N. McGinley
14 S. Lawless
23 P. Morrison
26 D. Cornelius
19 L. Polworth
11 J. Hastie
24 D. Devine

Coach: G. Alexander

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
33 S. Lawson M
5 J. Fitzwater D
12 J. Serrano M
6 M. Bartley M
14 J. Mullin M
10 C. Sibbald M
15 M. Poplatnik F
Bench (9)
11 A. Forrest
8 S. Pittman
22 S. Tiffoney
32 M. Stryjek
18 J. Holt
37 J. Kabia
25 E. Ambrose
23 J. Longridge
21 J. McMillan

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,18
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
2,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,28
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.