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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Heerenveen
U T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,2
4,7
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
2,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,2
4,7
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
2,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 12. · Den Haag 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 6 0 0 +21 18
2 Ajax 6 4 1 1 +10 13
3 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Heracles 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +9 11
6 VVV Venlo 6 3 2 1 +4 11
7 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -6 7
9 FC Emmen 6 2 1 3 -7 7
10 For Sittard 6 1 3 2 -2 6
11 Vitesse 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -3 6
13 Excelsior 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Zwolle 6 2 0 4 -4 6
15 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
17 Groningen 5 1 0 4 -6 3
18 NAC Breda 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Den Haag
1–0 M. Vlap
A. Zeneli
31′
36′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
45′
T. Necid 1–1
A. El Khayati
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Tomáš Necid
57′
🔁 S. Pinas
↦ W. Kanon
Daniel Høegh 🟨
65′
P. van Amersfoort 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
69′
70′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
72′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
81′
81′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ G. Troupée
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
14 D. Bulthuis D
16 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
10 B. Rienstra M
8 M. Thorsby M
18 M. Vlap M
13 A. Zeneli F
9 S. Lammers F
Bench (9)
19 P. van Amersfoort
11 M. van Bergen
4 N. Næss
7 M. Rojas
15 R. Kongolo
23 F. Bednarek
24 T. Doornbusch
26 J. Bruijn
35 J. Hornkamp

Coach: J. Olde Riekerink

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
3 G. Troupée D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
19 S. Pinas
26 T. Goppel
33 M. Lorenzen
6 D. Gorter
11 J. Goossens
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
20 N. Kuipers
22 R. Zwinkels
25 R. Polley

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.