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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Tirol

U T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

37%

53%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 6. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	19	14	1	4	+37	43
2	SK Rapid	19	12	4	3	+14	40
3	LASK	19	11	3	5	+18	36
4	Sturm Graz	19	10	4	5	+13	34
5	Wolfsberger AC	19	8	3	8	-3	27
6	Tirol	19	7	4	8	+1	25
7	Hartberg	19	6	7	6	-10	25
8	Austria Vienna	19	6	6	7	+2	24
9	St. Polten	19	5	5	9	-6	20
10	Ried	19	4	4	11	-17	16
11	Altach	19	4	3	12	-24	15
12	Admira	19	3	4	12	-25	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	10	7	2	1	+11	23
2	Sturm Graz	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Salzburg	9	7	0	2	+20	21
4	LASK	10	7	0	3	+15	21
5	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	-4	12
6	Tirol	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Ried	9	3	2	4	-4	11
8	Austria Vienna	9	2	4	3	-2	10
9	Admira	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Wolfsberger AC	10	2	3	5	-7	9
11	Altach	9	2	3	4	-7	9
12	St. Polten	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Wolfsberger AC	9	6	0	3	+4	18
3	SK Rapid	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	LASK	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	St. Polten	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Austria Vienna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
7	Tirol	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Hartberg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
9	Sturm Graz	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Altach	10	2	0	8	-17	6
11	Ried	10	1	2	7	-13	5
12	Admira	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.