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Eredivisie
Referee: C Bax
VVV Venlo
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
3,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
25%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
83%
43%
Both score Ø 64%
79%
48%
Average goals
4,3
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 15. · Sparta Rotterdam 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 19 3 2 +57 60
2 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 6 3 +31 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Vitesse 25 15 3 7 +15 48
5 Feyenoord 23 13 5 5 +26 44
6 Groningen 24 12 5 7 +5 41
7 Twente 25 9 9 7 +7 36
8 Utrecht 22 9 8 5 +8 35
9 Heerenveen 25 8 9 8 +0 33
10 Heracles 25 9 5 11 -10 32
11 For Sittard 25 9 4 12 -9 31
12 Zwolle 25 5 11 9 -7 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 23 6 5 12 -8 23
14 Waalwijk 25 5 8 12 -14 23
15 VVV Venlo 24 6 4 14 -29 22
16 Willem II 25 4 6 15 -27 18
17 Den Haag 25 2 9 14 -33 15
18 FC Emmen 25 2 7 16 -32 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Sparta Rotterdam
34′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ A. Auassar
Half-time 0–0
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ M. Shabani
46′
46′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ D. Duarte
S. Janssen 🔁
↦ C. Donis
59′
65′
🟨 Laros Duarte
66′
🔁 Jeffry Fortes
↦ W. Burger
66′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ M. Engels
70′
K. Da Graca 1–0
own goal
R. Gelmi 🔁
↦ A. Swinkels
71′
T. Hunte 🔁
↦ C. Kum
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
3 A. Swinkels D
14 C. Kum D
2 T. Pachonik D
44 K. Da Graca D
6 D. Post M
18 C. Donis M
37 M. Shabani M
12 J. John F
25 J. Arias F
19 Y. Roemer F
Bench (12)
10 V. van Crooij
15 S. Janssen
4 R. Gelmi
27 T. Hunte
16 D. van Crooij
7 G. Hupperts
24 W. Essanoussi
29 L. Nabbe
38 L. Guwara
5 S. Schäfer
22 B. Verbong
26 L. Schmitz

Coach: H. de Koning

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
8 L. Duarte M
7 A. Harroui M
10 W. Burger M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
Bench (12)
18 D. Duarte
15 S. Mijnans
12 Jeffry Fortes
16 E. Emegha
21 D. Vianello
14 M. Heylen
19 D. Gravenberch
30 M. Fabrie
22 J. Meerstadt
13 B. Smeets
20 B. van Leer
17 R. Kharchouch

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,76
U
3,60
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.