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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
0–2
Full-time
Willem II
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 21%
29%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
48%
65%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 14. · Willem II 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 22 18 2 2 +55 56
2 PSV Eindhoven 23 15 5 3 +29 50
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 13 7 3 +19 46
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 +14 45
5 Feyenoord 21 12 5 4 +22 41
6 Groningen 22 11 5 6 +6 38
7 Twente 24 9 8 7 +7 35
8 Utrecht 21 8 8 5 +7 32
9 For Sittard 23 9 4 10 -6 31
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -3 30
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 -11 29
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
14 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 4 11 -6 22
15 VVV Venlo 23 6 4 13 -23 22
16 Den Haag 24 2 9 13 -30 15
17 Willem II 23 3 5 15 -29 14
18 FC Emmen 24 2 6 16 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Willem II
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
30′
Deroy Duarte 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
B. Smeets 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
46′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ D. Gravenberch
62′
Jeffry Fortes 🔁
↦ D. Abels
62′
67′
C. Nunnely 0–1
M. Trésor
R. Kharchouch 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
73′
Jeffrey Fortes 🟥
78′
78′
M. Trésor 0–2
90′
🔁 M. Köhlert
↦ C. Nunnely
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
11 D. Duarte M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans M
10 L. Thy M
9 D. Gravenberch F
Bench (12)
15 A. Meijers
13 B. Smeets
22 M. Engels
12 Jeffry Fortes
19 R. Kharchouch
30 M. Fabrie
14 T. Beugelsdijk
20 B. van Leer
21 D. Vianello
18 L. Duarte
17 W. Burger
16 E. Emegha

Coach: H. Fraser

Willem II

4-3-3
49 A. Murić G
25 S. Holmén D
32 S. van Beek D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
21 M. Trésor F
43 W. Spieringhs M
20 K. Wriedt F
10 V. Pavlidis M
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
11 M. Köhlert
24 C. van den Berg
46 J. van den Avert
48 V. Schippers
5 I. Smeulers
22 V. van den Bogert
15 O. Romeny
26 J. Brondeel
23 G. Sağlam
16 R. Zuijderwijk

Coach: Ž. Petrović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,84
B ✓
4,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.