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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

VVV Venlo

U S S T T

1–4

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 42%

29%

55%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

81%

77%

Both score Ø 77%

81%

73%

Average goals

4,1

3,6

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

5 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 12

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 14. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	17	2	2	+53	53
2	PSV Eindhoven	22	14	5	3	+27	47
3	AZ Alkmaar	22	12	7	3	+16	43
4	Vitesse	22	13	3	6	+13	42
5	Feyenoord	19	12	3	4	+22	39
6	Groningen	20	11	3	6	+6	36
7	Twente	22	9	6	7	+7	33
8	Utrecht	20	8	8	4	+8	32
9	Heerenveen	22	7	8	7	+0	29
10	For Sittard	22	8	4	10	-8	28
11	Heracles	22	8	4	10	-8	28
12	Zwolle	23	4	11	8	-9	23
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	6	4	10	-4	22
14	VVV Venlo	21	6	4	11	-17	22
15	Waalwijk	22	4	7	11	-16	19
16	Den Haag	21	2	7	12	-28	13
17	Willem II	22	3	4	15	-29	13
18	FC Emmen	23	1	6	16	-33	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Vitesse	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+22	25
4	Groningen	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+14	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Utrecht	11	5	5	1	+5	20
8	Heerenveen	10	5	2	3	+5	17
9	Heracles	11	5	1	5	+4	16
10	Twente	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-2	12
12	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-13	12
13	For Sittard	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Waalwijk	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Willem II	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	3	6	-3	9
17	FC Emmen	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	Den Haag	11	0	5	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+31	28
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	Twente	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	PSV Eindhoven	12	5	5	2	+9	20
5	Feyenoord	10	6	1	3	+8	19
6	For Sittard	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Vitesse	11	5	1	5	+2	16
8	Groningen	9	5	0	4	+0	15
9	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Heerenveen	12	2	6	4	-5	12
12	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-12	12
13	Zwolle	12	2	5	5	-7	11
14	VVV Venlo	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Waalwijk	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Den Haag	10	2	2	6	-16	8
17	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Willem II	11	0	3	8	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.