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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

S T S T U

2–1

Full-time

For Sittard

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 11/13 matches

Win Ø 26%

36%

15%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

64%

69%

Both score Ø 66%

55%

77%

Average goals

3,5

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 14. · For Sittard 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	10	3	1	+41	33
2	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+19	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+13	31
4	Utrecht	13	8	2	3	+14	26
5	Cambuur	14	8	0	6	-3	24
6	Twente	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	2	6	-5	20
8	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-3	19
9	Vitesse	12	6	1	5	-8	19
10	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Willem II	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Groningen	14	4	5	5	-4	17
13	Heracles	14	4	2	8	-5	14
14	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	1	6	+2	13
15	Waalwijk	14	2	6	6	-8	12
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	For Sittard	13	2	3	8	-17	9
18	Zwolle	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+10	18
4	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+26	16
5	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	+3	12
7	Go Ahead Eagles	7	4	0	3	+3	12
8	Twente	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+7	10
10	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-5	10
12	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Groningen	6	1	4	1	+1	7
14	Waalwijk	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+15	17
2	Vitesse	7	5	0	2	-2	15
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-6	12
6	Nijmegen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Twente	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Groningen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Utrecht	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Waalwijk	7	0	5	2	-2	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	For Sittard	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-7	1
18	Zwolle	7	0	0	7	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.