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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

AZ Alkmaar

T T T S S

5–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 6/8 matches

Win Ø 48%

33%

63%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

83%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

3,7

2,9

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 15. · Utrecht 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+30	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Utrecht	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+2	16
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	-7	13
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-6	12
10	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-5	11
11	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-7	10
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-8	8
14	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	0	4	+0	6
16	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Cambuur	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
9	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
11	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	-5	4
16	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
4	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	+5	6
10	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
13	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
14	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.