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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
For Sittard
T U U T T
3–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 16. · AZ Alkmaar 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 For Sittard 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard AZ Alkmaar
1–0 Z. Flemming
M. Seuntjens
9′
23′
D. de Wit 1–1
A. Guðmundsson
37′
🟨 P. Chatzidiakos
Half-time 1–2
52′
T. Koopmeiners 1–2
68′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ A. Guðmundsson
69′
M. Boadu 1–3
D. de Wit
70′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ P. Chatzidiakos
E. Hansson 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
74′
B. Sambou 🔁
↦ S. Polter
77′
M. Angha 🔁
↦ B. Ňinaj
78′
2–3 E. Hansson
79′
D. Dianessy 🔁
↦ G. Cox
83′
84′
🔁 R. Leeuwin
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
84′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ M. Boadu
L. Rota 🟨
87′
J. Smeets 🟨
95′
3–3 Z. Flemming
B. Sambou
96′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
5 R. Janssen D
4 B. Ňinaj D
35 G. Cox D
44 L. Rota D
10 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Tekie M
6 J. Smeets M
8 Z. Flemming M
9 S. Polter F
7 Lisandro Semedo F
Bench (8)
11 E. Hansson
45 B. Sambou
2 M. Angha
17 D. Dianessy
41 T. Hendriks
24 N. El Ablak
1 Y. van Osch
12 C. Essers

Coach: K. Hofland

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Svensson D
22 T. Letschert D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
15 O. Wijndal D
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
9 M. Boadu F
17 Z. Aboukhlal F
Bench (8)
26 Y. Sugawara
24 T. Reijnders
27 R. Leeuwin
14 F. Druijf
18 H. Evjen
16 H. Verhulst
29 J. Kramer
55 B. Reus

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,62
U ✓
4,52
B
1,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.