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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Zwolle

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 24%

38%

10%

Points per game

1,1

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

75%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

3,8

2,1

Scored

2,0

0,4

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 15. · Zwolle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+35	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+12	19
5	Vitesse	11	6	1	4	-6	19
6	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
7	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Nijmegen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
9	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Cambuur	10	4	0	6	-7	12
12	Heracles	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	+2	9
16	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
9	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Heerenveen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	6	5	0	1	+0	15
2	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
4	Feyenoord	5	3	0	2	+6	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
12	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.