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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Excelsior
T T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Volendam
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,4
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 13. · Volendam 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 16 11 4 1 +25 37
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 10 3 3 +11 33
3 Ajax 16 9 5 2 +27 32
4 PSV Eindhoven 16 10 2 4 +22 32
5 Twente 14 9 3 2 +18 30
6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 3 3 +12 27
7 Utrecht 15 6 5 4 +0 23
8 Heerenveen 15 5 6 4 +0 21
9 Nijmegen 16 3 10 3 +3 19
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 7 5 -1 19
11 Waalwijk 16 4 6 6 -4 18
12 For Sittard 16 4 4 8 -9 16
13 Excelsior 16 5 1 10 -21 16
14 Vitesse 16 3 6 7 -13 15
15 Groningen 16 3 3 10 -16 12
16 FC Emmen 16 2 6 8 -16 12
17 Volendam 16 3 3 10 -22 12
18 Cambuur 16 2 3 11 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Volendam
0–1 D. Mirani
own goal
18′
Half-time 0–1
68′
🟨 Brian Plat
71′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ B. Ould-Chikh
71′
🔁 D. van Mieghem
↦ D. Mirani
Redouan El Yaakoubi 🟨
75′
P. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ A. Fein
77′
M. Awoudja 🔁
↦ C. Driouech
77′
80′
🔁 A. Douiri
↦ B. Benamar
1–1 M. Azarkan
J. Baas
80′
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ M. Azarkan
86′
N. Agrafiotis 🔁
↦ R. Kharchouch
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel G
2 S. Horemans D
16 S. Nieuwpoort D
4 R. El Yaakoubi D
28 N. Tjoe-A-On D
5 A. Fein M
8 K. Goudmijn M
33 J. Baas M
10 M. Azarkan F
9 R. Kharchouch F
14 C. Driouech F
Bench (10)
23 P. Koopmeiners
17 M. Awoudja
29 M. van Duinen
7 N. Agrafiotis
6 J. Eijgenraam
38 P. Kuiper
24 N. Markelo
34 S. Seymor
18 N. Alblas
22 L. Lamprou

Coach: M. Dijkhuizen

Volendam

3-4-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
31 X. Mbuyamba D
6 B. Benamar D
4 D. Mirani D
3 B. Plat M
12 F. Da Silva M
8 C. Eiting M
5 D. Murkin M
11 B. Ould-Chikh F
10 G. Oristanio F
21 R. Mühren F
Bench (11)
9 H. Veerman
7 D. van Mieghem
14 A. Douiri
20 K. van Oevelen
34 I. El Kadiri
15 D. James
22 B. Lauwers
17 C. Twigt
28 J. Flint
37 J. Antonioli
33 W. Ould-Chikh

Coach: W. Jonk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,69
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.