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Serie B

Referee: L Massimi

Palermo

U U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Bari

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

40%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Palermo 12. · Bari 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	20	13	3	4	+18	42
2	Reggina	20	11	3	6	+13	36
3	Genoa	20	10	6	4	+8	36
4	Bari	20	8	9	3	+15	33
5	Pisa	20	7	8	5	+9	29
6	Sudtirol	20	7	8	5	-2	29
7	Ternana	20	8	5	7	-3	29
8	Cagliari	20	7	7	6	+2	28
9	Parma	20	7	6	7	+1	27
10	Ascoli	20	6	7	7	+0	25
11	Modena	20	7	4	9	-1	25
12	Palermo	20	6	7	7	-3	25
13	Brescia	20	6	7	7	-7	25
14	Spal	20	5	8	7	-1	23
15	Benevento	20	5	8	7	-3	23
16	Como	20	5	7	8	-7	22
17	Cittadella	20	5	7	8	-10	22
18	Venezia	20	5	5	10	-6	20
19	Perugia	20	5	5	10	-8	20
20	Cosenza	20	4	6	10	-15	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+4	21
3	Ternana	10	5	3	2	+3	18
4	Reggina	10	5	2	3	+9	17
5	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+8	17
6	Genoa	10	4	5	1	+4	17
7	Parma	10	5	1	4	+3	16
8	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+2	16
9	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Como	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+0	15
12	Bari	10	3	5	2	+8	14
13	Modena	9	3	3	3	+3	12
14	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Perugia	10	3	3	4	-4	12
16	Spal	10	3	2	5	+1	11
17	Ascoli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-5	10
19	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Genoa	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Reggina	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Frosinone	10	5	1	4	+4	16
5	Ascoli	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Benevento	10	3	5	2	+2	14
7	Sudtirol	9	4	2	3	-2	14
8	Modena	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Pisa	10	2	6	2	+1	12
10	Venezia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Spal	10	2	6	2	-2	12
12	Cittadella	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Parma	10	2	5	3	-2	11
14	Ternana	10	3	2	5	-6	11
15	Palermo	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Brescia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
17	Perugia	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Cagliari	9	1	4	4	-2	7
19	Como	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Cosenza	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.