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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Sochaux
S U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Caen
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sochaux Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sochaux 4. · Caen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 19 12 6 1 +22 42
2 Bordeaux 19 9 6 4 +11 33
3 Metz 19 9 4 6 +9 31
4 Sochaux 18 9 3 6 +11 30
5 Grenoble 19 8 6 5 +3 30
6 Amiens 19 8 5 6 +2 29
7 Bastia 19 8 4 7 -3 28
8 Paris FC 19 7 6 6 -2 27
9 Caen 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Quevilly Rouen 19 6 7 6 -1 25
11 Valenciennes 19 6 7 6 -1 25
12 Annecy 19 6 6 7 +1 24
13 Guingamp 19 6 6 7 -3 24
14 Laval 19 7 2 10 -6 23
15 Pau FC 19 5 7 7 -6 22
16 Dijon 19 5 6 8 -1 21
17 St Etienne 19 5 6 8 -5 21
18 Rodez 19 4 7 8 -8 19
19 Niort 19 4 5 10 -14 17
20 Nimes 19 4 4 11 -11 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sochaux Caen
1–0 M. Doumbia
T. Mauricio
8′
Franck Kanouté 🟨
26′
29′
🔁 M. Hafid
↦ C. Zady Sery
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Quentin Daubin
64′
Alexandre Mendy 1–1
S. Alvero 🔁
↦ F. Kanouté
70′
A. Kalulu 🔁
↦ M. Doumbia
70′
Ismaël Aaneba 🟨
76′
M. Do Couto 🔁
↦ G. Weissbeck
78′
H. Tebily 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
78′
83′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ M. Hafid
89′
B. Brahimi 1–2
H. Mbock
93′
🔁 D. Diani
↦ B. Brahimi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sochaux

4-2-3-1
16 M. Prévot G
29 V. Henry D
22 I. Aaneba D
5 S. Agouzoul D
18 Y. Armougom D
14 R. Ndiaye M
77 F. Kanouté M
7 T. Mauricio M
10 G. Weissbeck M
70 M. Doumbia M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
80 S. Alvero
15 A. Kalulu
11 M. Do Couto
27 H. Tebily
19 D. Meddah
30 M. Jeannin
28 J. Faussurier

Coach: O. Guégan

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
6 Q. Daubin M
18 H. Mbock M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
21 B. Brahimi M
10 C. Zady Sery M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
12 M. Hafid
9 B. Jeannot
28 D. Diani
99 S. Essende
91 E. Ntim
16 Y. Clementia
20 N. Lebreton

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,05
B ✓
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.