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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

2,8

3,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,8

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 60%

53%

67%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

73%

60%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

3,4

4,1

Scored

2,0

3,3

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,76 xG 0,67

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	10	4	1	+36	34
2	Freiburg	15	9	3	3	+8	30
3	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+9	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Union Berlin	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Dortmund	15	8	1	6	+4	25
7	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
8	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Werder Bremen	15	6	3	6	-2	21
10	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-5	19
11	Hoffenheim	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Leverkusen	15	5	3	7	-1	18
13	FC Koln	15	4	5	6	-8	17
14	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Hertha	15	3	5	7	-3	14
16	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
17	Bochum	15	4	1	10	-22	13
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+14	19
2	M'gladbach	8	6	0	2	+10	18
3	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+20	17
4	Union Berlin	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Freiburg	7	5	1	1	+7	16
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+5	13
8	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+6	11
10	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Stuttgart	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	+1	10
13	Hertha	8	2	4	2	+1	10
14	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Bochum	7	3	1	3	-5	10
16	Mainz	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-10	7
18	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+16	17
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+1	14
4	Mainz	8	4	0	4	-4	12
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Union Berlin	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	RB Leipzig	8	2	3	3	-5	9
10	Dortmund	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Leverkusen	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	FC Koln	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Hertha	7	1	1	5	-4	4
15	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	4
16	Stuttgart	7	0	3	4	-10	3
17	Bochum	8	1	0	7	-17	3
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.