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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
FC Emmen
U T S U T
1–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
12%
65%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
0,8
2,6
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match FC Emmen 16. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 17 11 5 1 +25 38
2 AZ Alkmaar 17 11 3 3 +13 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 17 11 2 4 +23 35
4 Ajax 17 9 6 2 +27 33
5 Twente 15 10 3 2 +20 33
6 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 3 3 +15 30
7 Heerenveen 16 6 6 4 +2 24
8 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 -2 23
9 Nijmegen 17 4 10 3 +5 22
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 7 5 -1 19
11 Excelsior 17 6 1 10 -19 19
12 Waalwijk 16 4 6 6 -4 18
13 For Sittard 17 4 4 9 -11 16
14 Vitesse 17 3 6 8 -14 15
15 Groningen 17 3 3 11 -18 12
16 FC Emmen 17 2 6 9 -18 12
17 Volendam 17 3 3 11 -24 12
18 Cambuur 17 2 3 12 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen PSV Eindhoven
Richairo Živković 🟨
19′
1–0 L. Bernadou
24′
29′
🟨 Johan Bakayoko
43′
🟥 Mauro Júnior
Half-time 1–0
O. Romeny 🔁
↦ Rui Mendes
46′
46′
🔁 P. Max
↦ J. Bakayoko
Mohamed Bouchouari 🟨
64′
70′
🟨 Jordan Teze
70′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
76′
🔁 J. Veerman
↦ G. Til
76′
🔁 F. Fofana
↦ A. El Ghazi
76′
🔁 P. Mwene
↦ J. Teze
81′
🟨 Philipp Max
J. Vlak 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
81′
89′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ É. Gutiérrez
Ole Romeny 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Emmen

3-4-2-1
32 M. van der Hart G
5 M. Araujo D
4 J. Veldmate D
2 K. Veendorp D
34 M. Bouchouari M
8 L. Bernadou M
23 A. El Messaoudi M
24 J. Dirksen M
7 Rui Mendes F
10 M. Diemers F
9 R. Živković F
Bench (9)
77 O. Romeny
20 J. Vlak
19 B. Scholte
29 A. Luzayadio
16 K. van Dorp
13 M. Heylen
1 E. Oelschlägel
21 D. Funke
11 J. Assehnoun

Coach: D. Lukkien

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Branthwaite D
4 A. Obispo D
17 Mauro Júnior D
20 G. Til M
6 I. Sangaré M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
27 J. Bakayoko F
21 A. El Ghazi F
7 X. Simons F
Bench (10)
31 P. Max
23 J. Veerman
42 F. Fofana
29 P. Mwene
32 Y. Vertessen
16 J. Drommel
35 F. Oppegård
24 B. Waterman
5 André Ramalho
37 R. Ledezma

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,27
U
4,61
B
1,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.