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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
8,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · FC Emmen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven FC Emmen
1–0 N. Madueke
P. Max
21′
41′
🟨 Caner Cavlan
Half-time 1–0
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ N. Madueke
61′
Bruma 🔁
↦ M. Ihattaren
62′
80′
🔁 N. Bakker
↦ C. Cavlan
80′
🔁 L. Caciano
↦ R. de Vos
80′
🔁 A. Jansen
↦ M. Kolar
82′
🔁 D. Granečný
↦ M. Araujo
83′
Y. Mvogo 2–0
own goal
85′
🟨 Nikolai Laursen
86′
🟨 Anco Jansen
M. Romero 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
89′
89′
🔁 D. Payne
↦ S. Peña
3–0 M. Romero
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-4-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli M
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
30 R. Thomas M
18 P. Rosario D
10 M. Ihattaren M
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo M
23 N. Madueke F
Bench (10)
17 Mauro Júnior
7 Bruma
20 M. Romero
8 J. Hendrix
5 T. Baumgartl
21 M. Delanghe
4 N. Viergever
29 J. Piroe
13 L. Unnerstall
32 M. Sadílek

Coach: R. Schmidt

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp M
23 G. Bijl D
7 S. Tibbling M
20 M. Chacón D
10 S. Peña M
32 R. de Vos M
9 M. Kolar F
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (10)
4 N. Bakker
15 L. Caciano
6 A. Jansen
18 D. Granečný
30 D. Payne
16 R. Jalving
93 S. van der Lei
24 L. Bernadou
21 H. Ben Moussa
25 S. Sidibe

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
7,17
B
14,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.