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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

S T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

63%

19%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

75%

69%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

4,1

3,1

Scored

2,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Vitesse 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	11	4	1	+25	37
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	3	3	+11	33
3	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+27	32
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	10	2	4	+22	32
5	Twente	14	9	3	2	+18	30
6	Sparta Rotterdam	14	8	3	3	+12	27
7	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+0	23
8	Nijmegen	17	4	10	3	+5	22
9	Heerenveen	15	5	6	4	+0	21
10	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	7	5	-1	19
11	Excelsior	17	6	1	10	-19	19
12	Waalwijk	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	Vitesse	16	3	6	7	-13	15
15	Groningen	16	3	3	10	-16	12
16	FC Emmen	17	2	6	9	-18	12
17	Volendam	17	3	3	11	-24	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	3	11	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+18	19
3	Sparta Rotterdam	8	6	0	2	+10	18
4	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+14	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	+19	15
6	Excelsior	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Nijmegen	9	2	6	1	+6	12
8	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	FC Emmen	8	1	6	1	-2	9
13	Heerenveen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	3	4	-11	6
17	Volendam	8	2	0	6	-12	6
18	Cambuur	8	1	0	7	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Volendam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
16	Groningen	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Excelsior	9	1	1	7	-19	4
18	FC Emmen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.